AGP Executive Report

El Niño Alarm: The UN and NOAA warn the world is entering a climate “danger zone” as El Niño conditions return, with tropical Pacific seas running up to ~6°C above average and raising odds of a historic super El Niño heat spike—bad news for weather, oceans, and food systems from Peru to beyond. Forest Monitoring in Peru: A new bioacoustics approach is building acoustic baselines for intact forests, using continuous recordings in Peru (and other countries) to catch biodiversity changes that satellites and carbon accounting can miss. Peru Election Tight Race: Peru’s presidential runoff remains nearly tied as rural ballots keep shifting totals—Roberto Sánchez holds a narrow lead over Keiko Fujimori while official counting continues. Mining & Energy Tech: Oil India’s AI/IoT wellhead monitoring rollout (with real-time data from dozens of wells) highlights how digital tools are being used to improve operational visibility—relevant as Peru weighs critical minerals and energy transitions. Conservation Tools: Researchers stress that acoustic monitoring can help detect whether forest “living rhythms” stay intact, but it needs careful local calibration to be credible.

El Niño Watch: The UN and NOAA say El Niño conditions are back, with sea temperatures running about 6°C above average in parts of the tropics and a risk of a historic “super El Niño” heat spike between June and November 2026—raising alarms for floods and drought across the Americas, including Peru. Peru Politics: Peru’s presidential runoff remains razor-thin as Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead over Roberto Sánchez with most ballots counted, while rapid counts differ—keeping uncertainty high. Critical Minerals: Peru is positioning uranium and lithium as strategic priorities for 2026, signaling a push to secure supply chains tied to the clean-energy boom. Mining ESG: Chile’s Codelco says its El Teniente has earned dual Copper Mark and Molybdenum Mark certifications through 2029, reflecting tighter third-party sustainability standards that Peru’s mining sector will likely face too. Food Security: A UK analysis warns heat stress tied to El Niño could disrupt global food supplies, with Peru named among key fruit suppliers exposed to climate impacts. Sustainability Projects: Premios Verdes released its 2026 ranking of 500 socio-environmental projects; Peru ranks among the top countries by project count.

Critical Minerals Policy: Peru moves to lock in uranium and lithium as “national importance” and “strategic priority,” setting up a July 7–8 forum in Lima and pointing to projects on the Macusani Plateau in Puno. Amazon Conservation & Tourism: Kuaii Amazonas opens as an ecolodge run with the Ese Eja Indigenous Community of Infierno, positioned as a gateway to Tambopata National Reserve with a conservation-and-monitoring focus. Climate Risk for Peru’s Food System: UN-backed warnings say El Niño odds are rising, with a potential “super El Niño” that could intensify heat stress and disrupt crops and farm labor across the region. Mining ESG Standards: Codelco’s El Teniente in Chile earns dual certification under The Copper Mark and The Molybdenum Mark, signaling tighter, third-party-verified sustainability expectations for copper supply chains. Energy Transition Tech: TotalEnergies ENEOS completes Phase 2 of a rooftop solar expansion in Indonesia, underscoring how renewables are being used to cut emissions in industrial supply chains. Peru Election Watch: Peru heads into a tight presidential runoff, with voters choosing between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez amid deep political and security concerns.

Peru Election Watch: Peru heads into a tightly fought presidential runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, with voters focused on security, crime, and political trust as counting continues and the outcome remains uncertain. Energy Crisis & Mining Fallout: Peru’s power crunch is escalating after a Camisea gas pipeline rupture, pushing electricity costs up sharply and threatening mining output—one report links the shock to stress on about 15% of global silver supply. Silver Market Shock: A separate analysis ties Peru’s disruptions to a wider silver supply deficit and price breakout, driven by tightening inventories and demand from the “energy nexus” (solar, EVs, and AI data centers). Climate Risk: El Niño odds are rising, with warnings that it could intensify heat and disrupt weather patterns across regions, raising concerns for water and food systems. Critical Minerals Policy: Peru is moving to treat uranium and lithium as “national pillars,” a regulatory shift aimed at accelerating development in the Macusani Plateau. Mining Congress in Lima: WMC 2026 in Peru (June 24–26) is set to draw global investors and tech firms to critical minerals deals under the theme “Trust, Transformation & Technology.”

Peru Election Watch: Peru heads into a tense presidential runoff Sunday, with Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez locked in a statistical tie amid deep institutional fatigue and security fears tied to organized crime. Energy & Mining Shock: Peru’s silver market is rattled by a major energy crisis after a Camisea gas pipeline rupture and soaring electricity costs, with power rationing risks threatening a large share of output. Critical Minerals Policy: Peru is moving to treat lithium and uranium as “national pillars,” a regulatory shift aimed at accelerating development in the Macusani Plateau, where the two resources are linked. El Niño Climate Pressure: El Niño is expected to intensify heat and drought risks across the region, with knock-on effects for agriculture, water, and power systems. Coolcation Demand: Peru is listed among top “coolcation” destinations for 2026, reflecting how extreme heat is reshaping travel choices toward cooler, nature-focused trips.

Critical Minerals Policy: Peru moves to treat uranium and lithium as “national pillars,” a regulatory shift aimed at accelerating extraction at the Macusani Plateau and clarifying the dual-commodity path for the energy transition. Mining & Power Costs: Peru’s copper output rose 15% in early 2026 as major mines stabilized and ramped up, but the broader sector still faces grid and energy-price pressure. Election & Environment: Peru’s runoff could hinge on small gold miners under the REINFO program, which critics say enables weak permitting and environmental harm while supporters argue it sustains rural livelihoods. Climate Risk Watch: Colombia braces for an El Niño event with 80% odds, raising concerns for heat waves, water shortages, fires, and food/energy strain. Heat-Proof Tourism: A new “coolcation” ranking puts Peru among the Americas’ cooler nature escapes for 2026, reflecting how extreme heat is reshaping travel choices. El Niño Signals: NASA and other monitoring point to a strengthening El Niño precursor in the Pacific, adding urgency for preparedness.

Presidential Runoff: Peru heads to a tense Sunday vote between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, with polls showing a statistical tie and millions of eligible voters facing fatigue after nearly a decade of political instability. Climate & Inequality Debate: A new Global Justice Report argues climate action and reduced wealth gaps must move together, calling for rapid decarbonization and big shifts in consumption. Indigenous Rights Under Pressure: A report warns Indigenous Peoples in Voluntary Isolation in Peru and Brazil’s Yavarí-Tapiche corridor face rising threats from oil and gas, highways, and illegal mining—raising risks of disease and ecosystem loss. Mining & Environment: Reuters highlights how Peru’s REINFO program keeps small artisanal gold miners operating with looser permit rules, potentially shaping the runoff outcome while critics warn it entrenches environmental harm. Biodiversity Conservation: A genetic study finds only nine desert pampas cats in Peru’s San Pedro de Vice dry mangroves, all closely related, underscoring urgent conservation needs. Water & Marine Sustainability: Austral Group becomes the first Peruvian fishmeal/fish oil firm to register environmental data in the GFLI database, aiming for more transparent, comparable marine impact reporting.

El Niño Readiness: NASA satellite data shows a warm “Kelvin wave” spreading across the Pacific, a key precursor to a likely Super El Niño—raising alarms for extreme heat and rainfall swings that could hit Peru’s coast and beyond. Peru Mining & Politics: Reuters reports Peru’s REINFO program lets small artisanal gold miners operate with looser environmental and operating permits; with hundreds of thousands of miners, the policy may shape the presidential runoff outcome. Biodiversity Under Threat: A genetic study finds only nine desert pampas cats in Peru’s San Pedro de Vice dry mangroves—just two breeding—warning that isolated wildlife populations can collapse without targeted conservation. Marine Sustainability: Peru’s Austral Group became the first firm in the country to register fishmeal and fish oil in the GFLI database, aiming to make marine feed impacts more transparent and comparable. Protected Nature + People: In the Amazon, a conservation area highlights how research tourism and Indigenous co-management can support wildlife monitoring while keeping communities in place. Green Infrastructure Push: Peru’s government presented 92 PPP/active projects worth over US$40B to European investors, spanning water, transport, energy, mining, and more.

Mining & Biodiversity in Peru: Silver X Mining has finalized its acquisition of Barrick’s Lily 19 concession, adding an inferred 42,303 ounces of gold and strengthening its district position near the Tangana mine in Huancavelica. Indigenous Rights & the Environment: A new analysis highlights Peru’s legal and policy tools that Indigenous biocultural territories can use to defend land, crops, and food security amid rising Andean mining concessions. Climate Signals: The UN and WMO continue warning that El Niño conditions are developing, with likely above-average global temperatures and knock-on impacts for weather and ecosystems. Amazon Research Links: Ocho Sur and Fulbright Peru launched academic exchanges to boost Amazon-focused research, aiming to support sustainability with stronger science. Protected Areas Pressure: Peru faces growing concern over alleged tourist overflights in Cusco’s protected areas, raising questions about enforcement and wildlife impacts. World Environment Day: Coverage reiterates this year’s theme—climate action inspired by nature—pushing for faster cuts to pollution and greenhouse gases.

Indigenous Rights & Mining Pressure in Peru: A new report looks at how global and Peruvian environmental laws could help Andean Indigenous communities protect biocultural territories—especially as mining concessions expand in the southern Andes, raising social, environmental, and cultural risks. Climate Watch (El Niño signals): NASA reports Sentinel-6 data showing a warm “Kelvin wave” moving across the Pacific toward South America, with seas off Peru already more than 15 cm above long-term averages—an early sign El Niño impacts could intensify. Amazon Research Scholarships: Ocho Sur and Fulbright launch Peru–U.S. academic exchange scholarships focused on Amazon research, aiming to strengthen scientific work tied to sustainable development. Peru-Ecuador Security & Environment Cooperation: Peru and Ecuador reaffirm commitments to fight transnational organized crime and coordinate on shared priorities including environmental and mining matters, alongside border and infrastructure issues. Peru Mining Update: Xali Gold completes initial underground and surface sampling at its Pico Machay project in central Peru to support an updated resource estimate and next economic assessment.

Biodiversity Breakthrough (Peru-Amazon): SIU researchers helped name three new poison dart frog species from the Amazon, including the Yaminawá, Inti, and Taboca poison frogs, underscoring how much Peru’s wildlife is still undiscovered. Wildlife Monitoring (Tambopata): Peru’s SERNANP is using AI to speed up jaguar camera-trap analysis in the Tambopata National Reserve, producing updated density estimates and broader mammal and bird counts. Climate Watch (El Niño signals): New satellite readings show a warm Kelvin wave building off South America, with scientists warning this could feed into a “Super El Niño” and bring major swings in rain and heat that affect water, food, and ecosystems. Food & Farming Risk (Peru avocados): Reports point to climate pressure on Peruvian avocado supply, with the season potentially ending earlier and affecting market timing. Conservation Culture (World Environment Day): Coverage highlights the push to recognize rivers as legal entities, tying environmental protection to stronger local governance and rights. Mining & Resources (Peru uranium/lithium): Peru’s national interest decree for uranium and lithium is drawing attention from emerging investors and industry plans.

Climate Watch (El Niño): The UN weather agency says there’s an 80% chance El Niño will develop from June to August, with rising sea temperatures off Peru expected to bring hotter conditions, heavier rains, and more extreme weather—raising risks for heat health, vector-borne diseases, and food-and-water stress. Disaster Outlook (Super El Niño): Separate reporting warns a “Super El Niño” could form, with Pacific warmth potentially amplified by climate change, meaning stronger, longer droughts, floods, cyclones, and record heat. Peru Energy & Minerals: American Lithium says Peru has issued a Supreme Decree declaring uranium and lithium nationally strategic, alongside an international forum in July—framing the move as supporting a lower-impact energy transition. Mining Governance (Peru): Peru extends emergency measures in rain-hit regions, while environmental concerns grow over alleged tourist overflights in protected areas of Cusco. Biodiversity & Wildlife (Peru): A new species of salamander was reported from Panguana, reinforcing calls to protect Peru’s rainforest.

Climate Watch (El Niño): The UN’s weather agency says there’s an 80% chance El Niño will develop from June to August, raising risks of hotter temperatures, heavier rains, more heat-related illness, and pressure on food and water systems—an urgent warning for a warming world. Peru Politics (Runoff): Peru’s presidential runoff is set for June 7, with Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez facing off after a fragmented first round; debates highlight deep divides over “order,” economic direction, and the role of political elites. Peru Environment (Protected areas): Peru is also dealing with environmental pressure as reports raise concerns about tourist overflights in Cusco’s protected areas. Biodiversity (Peru rainforest): New research from Amazon treks in Peru and Brazil describes three new species of poison dart frogs, underscoring the need to protect rainforest habitats. Mining & Environment (Peru minerals): Peru continues pushing cooperation on critical minerals and sustainable mining, as the country positions itself for energy and resource security.

Climate Watch: The UN warns El Niño is likely to intensify this summer, with forecasts pointing to near-certain odds and “record” global temperatures—fueling more extreme weather worldwide. Fisheries Under Stress: Peru extended its anchovy fishing pause as El Niño-linked warming and a high presence of juveniles keep the North-Central catch uncertain, with a sharply lower total allowable catch set for 2026. Protected Nature & Tourism Pressure: Peru faces growing environmental concern over alleged tourist overflights in Cusco’s protected areas, raising alarms about impacts on wildlife and habitats. Critical Minerals Push: Peru’s government issued a decree naming uranium and lithium as nationally strategic and calling for an international forum, while companies like American Lithium point to a low-environment-impact policy direction. Biodiversity Science: New research from Peru’s Amazon highlights the discovery of new poison dart frog species, underscoring the need to protect rainforest ecosystems. Mining & Environment Governance: Switzerland and Peru signed an MoU to support more responsible artisanal and small-scale gold mining, aiming for formalization, traceability, and improved environmental and social standards.

Food safety diplomacy: APFRAS, with Peru among members, held its Seoul summit to push Pacific Rim food safety cooperation toward broader regulatory harmonisation amid trade tensions. Climate ecosystem focus: World Peatland Day (June 2) spotlighted how peatlands store massive carbon, while new findings from Africa’s Congo Basin raise questions about whether some emissions are natural or climate-linked. Peru fisheries under El Niño: Peru extended a pause on anchovy fishing after high juvenile presence, as warming coastal conditions tied to El Niño keep shifting pelagic behavior and cut the 2026 TAC to 1.9 million MT. Amazon biodiversity under pressure: Scientists described a new lungless salamander species from Peru’s Panguana area, underscoring rainforest value even as illegal mining threatens habitats. Wildlife crime: A regional report links wildlife trafficking across Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and Colombia to transnational organized crime, including hunting of jaguars and pumas for skins and fangs. Indigenous media support: Cultural Survival highlighted 2026 Indigenous Community Media Fund grants, including projects in Peru aimed at strengthening local voices and knowledge.

El Niño & Fisheries: Peru extended a pause in its anchovy fishery as a Coastal El Niño alert keeps warming waters and shifts in pelagic behavior in play, cutting the 2026 total allowable catch to 1.9 million metric tons and citing high juvenile presence. Biodiversity in the Amazon: Scientists identified a new lungless salamander species, Bolitoglossa chrysothyma, in Panguana, underscoring how much Peru’s rainforest still holds—and how illegal mining pressure can threaten discoveries and habitats. Protected Areas & Tourism Safety: Peru’s Cusco region will temporarily close Huayna Picchu in June for conservation and maintenance, including stabilizing terraces, drainage work, and vegetation control to protect archaeological structures. Wildlife Crime: A regional look at transnational wildlife trafficking highlights networks operating across Peru and neighbors, including illegal hunting and trade of protected species like jaguars, pumas, and marine wildlife. Agri-Food Resilience: FAO and GEF spotlight agrifood solutions that can cut emissions and restore land, with an example tied to biodiversity recovery in Peru’s Amazon. Conservation & Climate Data: NASA reports the largest wave ever measured from space (19.7 meters) in the Pacific, improving extreme wave predictions relevant to coastal risk planning.